Value Betting – 5th April, 2018

By | 6th April 2018

The Flat season was upon us. Two weeks into the summer stuff and hardly a meeting had survived the mud and the rain of a protracted winter.

All there was was a seemingly endless succession of wall-to-wall all-weather racing. There was so much of it that the members on the UK Horse Racing forum were starting to moan loudly. I was one of them.

And with the next scheduled flat meeting for another week it seemed that the day’s two all-weather meetings, which were the only things on offer, would sap spirits even further.

But this is the thing with value betting: one simply has to follow the good value that’s on offer. The day started well for those looking in on the forum, where the value selections are posted, as the first race, Wolverhampton 2.10, gave us the first value winner of the day, La Fortuna, at 9/2.

The horse lived up to its name. Left behind in the stalls which, in a five furlong race, is usually enough to knock it out of the race, gathered its senses and drove to win. That set us up for the day.

In the 4.20, also at Wolverhampton, we had Cooperess as our selection. That went on to win at 12/1 and for most people the day was in profit. But there were more to come.

In the next race another horse mentioned on the forum, Volevo Lui, won at 9/2. Another good value selection.

Things continued for us into the second meeting, an evening down at Chelmsford.

Chelmsford 6.45, 5th April 2018

Here we were on the drifting Shanghai Silver in a rather tight novice stakes. Just before the off it reached 40s on the exchanges but won easily by five lengths at the official price of 20/1.

The evening continued and we had another good winner, which was backed by most of the members, in the last.

Chelmsford 8.45, 5th April 2018

Song of Love was our selection in a tight handicap. It was 16/1 at the off, but available for 20s easily most of the day. Best class differentials in the race, no other horse had a better last run (column f), two underscores, two emboldened fields and the value price was 5/1. Little wonder everyone looking at the ratings saw this as a good value bet.

Song of Love just won by a nose, but even if didn’t win, we had the second home as another value selection.

If we tried to find most of these winners by conventional means we wouldn’t be able to, but all of these were quite easy to find by looking that the UK Horse Racing ratings: find a horse not too far off being top rated that’s going for value price and back it.

Not all days will be like the 5th of April but this is the only way to be sure to make long term profits by backing horses which have a good chance of winning and are overpriced. More information on value betting can be found here: https://www.ukhorseracing.co.uk/systems/mksPortfolios.asp